← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | LightParadox | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (36–37, n=73) | no settled market | 47% (114–128, n=242) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$388K | — | -$19K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #314 | PM monthly #159 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (23 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | — | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | — | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | LightParadox | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $48K | — | Jazz $32 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Oskari Paldanius vs Raul Brancaccio opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius | Raul Brancaccio $1.2K | — | Oskari Paldanius $5.9K | — |