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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | quietparcel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3325, n=7861) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 41% (6794–9621, n=16415) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $5.3M | $4.8M | -$118K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #243 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (15 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 77% (33 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | Mentions −4 pts, n=646 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 58% (won 1% of 3260) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 2% (won 39% of 118) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 4% (won 60% of 198) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 36% (won 96% of 2049) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | quietparcel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | No $29 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $177K | — | — | No $156 |