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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (16 of 24 open) | 56% (85 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | — | South Florida $3.7K | East Carolina $2.6K |
| Spread: South Florida (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | — | South Florida $213 | East Carolina $3.2K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $337 |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $508 | Over $1.4K |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | — | South Florida $262 | East Carolina $777 |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $274 |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | — | Virginia Tech $226 | SMU $79 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $265 | — | — | Raptors $38 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11 | — | — | Raptors $190 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | — | — | Grizzlies $101 |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | — | SMU $3.4K | SMU $692 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Nebraska $9 |
| Spread: SMU (-7.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $5 | Virginia Tech $1.5K |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $20 | Over $1.3K |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $514 | — | — | Under $12 |
| Spread: East Carolina (-4.5) same side · consensus South Florida | South Florida $24 | — | — | South Florida $113 |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | — | SMU $3 | SMU $83 |