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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1PT-S7
Record (consensus markets)49% (69–71, n=140)45% (213–257, n=470)no settled market65% (17–9, n=26)
Consensus PnL-$392K$143K$4-$40
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #33PM monthly #152PM monthly #750
Sides with the consensus27% (4 of 15 open)66% (27 of 41 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%100% of 9 at avg 76¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 8)100% (won 50% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)38% (won 100% of 51)0%11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 68)0%11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)7% (won 100% of 9)0%78% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1PT-S7
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
Karolina Muchova $178KElina Svitolina $118K——
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $58KJazz $5.6K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $8.9KKnicks $2.2K——
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.9KKnicks $267——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $8.9KRaptors $1.2K——