← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | zerone777 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) | 28% (449–1172, n=1621) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.2M | $14.8M | $36K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 68% (105 of 154 open) | 68% (26 of 38 open) | 62% (8 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Elections ±0 pts, n=212 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 43% of 609 at avg 44¢, ROI +15% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 50% (won 2% of 307) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 5% (won 29% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 7% (won 64% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 37% (won 96% of 226) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | zerone777 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Arthur Rinderknech $461 | — | Arthur Rinderknech $23K | — |