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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1zerone777
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)65% (892–472, n=1364)39% (440–685, n=1125)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$4.6M$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #123PM monthly #99PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)78% (39 of 50 open)78% (331 of 423 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1zerone777
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $50K—No $235
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $149—No $3.7K
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $258No $43