Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465pollo07RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)28% (421–1073, n=1494)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$39K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #66PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)96% (22 of 23 open)44% (11 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Elections −2 pts, n=222—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%46% of 663 at avg 47¢, ROI +11%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)48% (won 3% of 321)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)5% (won 48% of 33)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)5% (won 50% of 32)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)42% (won 95% of 277)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465pollo07RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4K—Alexandra Eala $46K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Mai Hontama $724—Mai Hontama $6.2K