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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| reykreyk | Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (13–9, n=22) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 70% (82 of 117 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 47¢, ROI +55% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 7) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | reykreyk | Flaznorp | ndb1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $2.1K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $142K |