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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beBreakTheBankjoseph00677beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)76% (367–118, n=485)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (10–10, n=20)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$2.9K$10.6M$5.3M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #514PM monthly #1PM monthly #2was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)90% (146 of 163 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won94% of 95 at avg 52¢, ROI +43%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 71% of 7)10% (won 82% of 56)—3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 94% of 18)36% (won 98% of 198)—29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢72% (won 96% of 68)35% (won 99% of 191)—54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)19% (won 100% of 107)—14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.