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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | classified | HomeRunHazard | petanimal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (5–0, n=5) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $3.8K | $227K | $15 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #29 | PM monthly #288 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #283 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 42% (5 of 12 open) | 67% (46 of 69 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 83% of 6 at avg 71¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 17% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 67% (won 100% of 4) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | classified | HomeRunHazard | petanimal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $125 | — | Yes $2.1K |