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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)47% (620–692, n=1312)no settled market52% (6417–5939, n=12356)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$70K—$3.3M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #24—PM monthly #21PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus63% (81 of 128 open)no open consensus position73% (131 of 179 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicF1 −7 pts, n=25—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 2% of 753)—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 39% of 61)—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 73% of 55)—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 1178)—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.