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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4c07bf46017Ef52C0bEA3FE4253185DeC1316200-1769689308184sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)55% (148–119, n=267)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (537–652, n=1189)50% (992–980, n=1972)
Consensus PnL-$14K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #886was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position85% (52 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +20 pts n=96, ROI +18%
  • Tennis +22 pts n=43, ROI +20%
  • MLB +22 pts n=14, ROI +22%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won74% of 198 at avg 57¢, ROI +17%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 27% of 15)0%10% (won 82% of 56)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 75% of 36)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 73% of 104)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 93% of 43)0%19% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.