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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BiggggggggBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)42% (1348–1839, n=3187)45% (547–663, n=1210)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$631K$11.0M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #9PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (177 of 240 open)84% (159 of 189 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=105——
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%68% of 3485 at avg 66¢, ROI 0%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)28% (won 8% of 963)10% (won 79% of 58)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)5% (won 43% of 174)36% (won 98% of 200)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)5% (won 67% of 172)35% (won 99% of 194)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)62% (won 97% of 2176)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BiggggggggBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1Yes $24K—