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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpMulticoloured-Serfndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6519–6017, n=12536)47% (266–304, n=570)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M-$183K$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #24PM monthly #22PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (232 of 329 open)73% (11 of 15 open)73% (81 of 111 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)0% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)47% (won 100% of 100)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)47% (won 100% of 101)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)6% (won 100% of 13)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpMulticoloured-Serfndb1
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6KNo $3.3K—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $145Yes $14—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $1.3KOlympique de Marseille $23K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7KUnder $181—