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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpjoseph00677surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)52% (6275–5714, n=11989)53% (10–9, n=19)52% (301–278, n=579)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.4M$5.6M-$63K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #13PM monthly #2was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (190 of 260 open)no open consensus position18% (2 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +4 pts n=151, ROI +10%
  • NBA +3 pts n=85, ROI +12%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −7 pts, n=75
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)21% (won 14% of 123)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)23% (won 48% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)32% (won 59% of 193)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)25% (won 81% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpjoseph00677surfandturf
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11K—Yes $13K
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.7K—No $4.2K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3K—No $337