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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Multicoloured-Serfndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (266–304, n=570)65% (902–484, n=1386)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL—-$182K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #101PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)70% (106 of 152 open)54% (15 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—47% (won 100% of 100)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 100% of 101)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 13)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.