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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241akrollBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market38% (412–677, n=1089)45% (573–710, n=1283)65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL—$38K$9.4M$4.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #116PM monthly #3PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position42% (8 of 19 open)68% (23 of 34 open)70% (106 of 152 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Elections −1 pts, n=186—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—46% of 566 at avg 48¢, ROI +12%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—47% (won 2% of 268)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 28)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 59% of 37)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—41% (won 96% of 233)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241akrollBreakTheBankndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $407KNo $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $278KYes $11K