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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241askilikandb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market65% (870–459, n=1329)50% (1053–1054, n=2107)
Consensus PnL——$4.2M$3.5M
Tracked as——PM monthly #11PM monthly #61
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (25 of 34 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won——64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢——13% (won 16% of 160)5% (won 94% of 50)
Entries 30–50¢——20% (won 40% of 253)41% (won 99% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢——24% (won 57% of 310)49% (won 99% of 469)
Entries 70¢ and up——43% (won 93% of 544)5% (won 100% of 44)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.