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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4BreakTheBankmildwindow27
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)40% (4885–7417, n=12302)
Consensus PnL——$11.2M$57K
Tracked as——PM monthly #2PM monthly #360
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)48% (12 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Weather −3 pts, n=970
Settled positions, side won——97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%42% of 4506 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢——10% (won 81% of 57)54% (won 1% of 2428)
Entries 30–50¢——36% (won 98% of 201)3% (won 41% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 99% of 196)4% (won 56% of 202)
Entries 70¢ and up——19% (won 100% of 109)39% (won 96% of 1760)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4BreakTheBankmildwindow27
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $42KYes $3
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $9.2KNo $527
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $197Yes $3
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $32Yes $2