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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677primmVenusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)50% (1111–1131, n=2242)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$3.6M$29K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #47PM monthly #478
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)47% (15 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 618 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 100% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)19% (won 100% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)59% (won 100% of 362)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677primmVenusian
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $690Over $847