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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241kaxel78primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market42% (364–500, n=864)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)
Consensus PnL—$142K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #64PM monthly #48PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (15 of 22 open)no open consensus position55% (21 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Politics −1 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 409 at avg 45¢, ROI +8%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—53% (won 2% of 216)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 60% of 10)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 50% of 10)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 96% of 173)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.