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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241mildwindow27primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market39% (5098–7938, n=13036)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL—$64K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #355PM monthly #50PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (329 of 371 open)100% (7 of 7 open)56% (76 of 135 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Weather −4 pts, n=1229——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—54% (won 1% of 2673)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 43% of 124)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 55% of 214)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 96% of 1974)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241mildwindow27primmRN1
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $4.2KEastern Michigan $2.0K
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $50
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4
Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $4.9KCentral Michigan $3.3K