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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1ryou999UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (882–468, n=1350)35% (12–22, n=34)50% (19555–19619, n=39174)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M$41K$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #143PM monthly #669PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (25 of 32 open)no open consensus position64% (32 of 50 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139Esports −1 pts, n=18—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%38% of 29 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)45% (won 8% of 13)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)28% (won 50% of 8)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)21% (won 67% of 6)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)7% (won 100% of 2)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.