← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (239–669, n=908) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5K | $11.0M | $5.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #66 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 84% (158 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −4 pts, n=56 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 2% of 182 at avg 7¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 97% (won 2% of 176) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32 | No $231K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | Yes $100K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $61K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $5 | Yes $46K | — | — |