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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115BreakTheBankS-Works
Record (consensus markets)43% (76–100, n=176)41% (589–853, n=1442)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$27K$7.7M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #752PM monthly #2PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)80% (40 of 50 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won70% of 106 at avg 40¢, ROI +27%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 42% of 26)10% (won 82% of 60)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 78% of 50)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 80% of 30)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.