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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (516–630, n=1146)66% (875–459, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$72K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #18PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=313NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won63% of 1818 at avg 63¢, ROI +6%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 1% of 637)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 51% of 37)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 74% of 54)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 99% of 1090)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.