Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960RN1sainttroplaysurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)67% (183–91, n=274)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)71% (10–4, n=14)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$129K$13.4M$4.4M$9.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #128PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus84% (26 of 31 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicFinance −1 pts, n=18———
Settled positions, side won76% of 342 at avg 71¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%—
Entries under 30¢14% (won 4% of 48)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%—
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 43% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 70% of 37)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 93% of 243)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.