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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554sainttroplayRN1pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)55% (3017–2428, n=5445)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL-$45K$4.4M$13.4M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #992was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=144, ROI −4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicTennis ±0 pts, n=2034——MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won55% of 4901 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 651)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 40% of 1371)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 61% of 1640)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 84% of 1239)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554sainttroplayRN1pleaseplease123
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
opposite sides · consensus Jan Kumstat
Joel Schwaerzler $13—Jan Kumstat $9.7K—
Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker
opposite sides · consensus Michal Krajci
Niels Visker $68—Michal Krajci $270—