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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7750cdd6207bda401911ad3657253af46491a3f3RN1
Record (consensus markets)30% (114–261, n=375)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL-$37K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #933PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)59% (35 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +6 pts n=330, ROI +6%
  • NBA +7 pts n=16, ROI 0%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=33—
Settled positions, side won30% of 384 at avg 24¢, ROI +5%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢74% (won 21% of 283)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 53% of 86)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 60% of 15)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7750cdd6207bda401911ad3657253af46491a3f3RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Rafael Jodar $5.0KCasper Ruud $39K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
same side · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
Arthur Gea $1.6KArthur Gea $13K