Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7986576408b65a9805AC85553Be33Ad0B044BAa5-1781719173927keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (193–240, n=433)66% (479–242, n=721)
Consensus PnL-$3.2K$26K-$146K
Tracked asPM monthly #430PM monthly #43PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)83% (10 of 12 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won48% of 214 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 20% of 54)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 36% of 83)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 69% of 52)50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 25)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7986576408b65a9805AC85553Be33Ad0B044BAa5-1781719173927keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Mak Mikovic
opposite sides · consensus Tommaso Compagnucci
—Mak Mikovic $33Tommaso Compagnucci $910
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $23KJurij Rodionov $628
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $8.7KSumit Nagal $3.0K