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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7B5c0078d4F9CC7cd271E8d3c375EB7382A04960-1774346687518RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)48% (13–14, n=27)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$31K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #663PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)65% (98 of 151 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +25 pts n=10, ROI +16%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won71% of 17 at avg 47¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 33% of 3)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 75% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 78% of 9)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.