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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (593–78, n=671) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $144K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #368 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (55 of 58 open) | 79% (58 of 73 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=124 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 701 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 14% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 43% of 23) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 45% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 96% of 611) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $90K | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $115K | Yes $85K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | Yes $172K | — |