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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293beachboy4CORGIIjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (811–622, n=1433)no settled market61% (399–251, n=650)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$52K—$216K$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #824—PM monthly #77PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus73% (233 of 319 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=44, ROI −3%
  • F1 +5 pts n=27, ROI 0%
  • Esports +4 pts n=22, ROI 0%
not computed yet
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=885———
Settled positions, side won62% of 1699 at avg 62¢, ROI −2%—99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 2% of 602)—9% (won 92% of 36)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 42% of 48)—56% (won 99% of 224)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 70% of 60)—33% (won 100% of 134)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 99% of 989)—2% (won 100% of 7)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.