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8B
Consensus PnL $52K · win rate 37% (197–342, n=539) · PM monthly #544 · holds 66 consensus positions
0x8b8b9c56...323d2512Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$52.2K
Record
197W / 342L
Win Rate
37.0%
of 539 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2437
Source
PM monthly #544
Record (90 d)
1956/4137 · 47%
Trades
503
Markets
13,477
Volume
$972.8K
Top consensus positions
66 in listed consensus markets · 48 of 66 on the consensus side (73%)- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes $1.5K · now 83¢ · in at 46¢with the consensus (69% of 16)
- Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No $392 · now 85¢ · in at 84¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?No $237 · now 47¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No $114 · now 95¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (58% of 24)
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?Yes $113 · now 85¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (62% of 14)
- Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?No $72 · now 37¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?No $71 · now 14¢ · in at 17¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2?No $58 · now 98¢ · in at 98¢against the consensus (Yes)