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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-177468257719100gringo00beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (3426–4111, n=7537)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$4.6K$3.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (10 of 17 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)70% (16 of 23 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won98% of 1960 at avg 65¢, ROI +30%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 86% of 163)0%3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 96% of 305)0%29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 99% of 523)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 100% of 969)0%14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.