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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)45% (3426–4111, n=7537)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$4.6K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus59% (10 of 17 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus position50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 1960 at avg 65¢, ROI +30%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 86% of 163)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 96% of 305)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 99% of 523)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 100% of 969)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K