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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8cBbF4e3d2D0b6Fb7b684cF1f5EE12d79dFCE8A8-1772503424879beachboy4pleaseplease123surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)47% (93–104, n=197)68% (43–20, n=63)49% (345–353, n=698)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL-$13K$5.8M$3.2M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #982was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #92was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93MLB −1 pts, n=694NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won82% of 114 at avg 49¢, ROI +36%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 20% of 10)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 0% of 2)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 85% of 41)30% (won 57% of 63)38% (won 43% of 266)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 89% of 62)54% (won 51% of 115)61% (won 54% of 426)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 86% of 29)0%26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.