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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9beachboy4RN1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)59% (590–417, n=1007)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$26K$5.8M$13.4M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #439was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +44 pts n=82, ROI +48%
  • NFL +49 pts n=19, ROI +61%
  • MLB +45 pts n=25, ROI +42%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won98% of 163 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢4% (won 71% of 7)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 41)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢70% (won 99% of 114)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.