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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758beachboy4BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)51% (123–118, n=241)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL-$6.2K$5.8M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #76was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus77% (137 of 178 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won0% of 2 at avg 17¢, ROI −20%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢0%54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up0%14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758beachboy4BreakTheBank00gringo00
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $69Yes $4.2K——