Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (8 of 15 open)56% (44 of 78 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10primmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $4Jaguars $2.9K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $616
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $890
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $741Under $1.5K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KOver $244
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $640Over $1.3K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $226
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $510Jaguars $180
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $498