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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)13% (522–3611, n=4133)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$85K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #190PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus55% (22 of 40 open)57% (28 of 49 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment −6 pts, n=163——
Settled positions, side won30% of 1983 at avg 31¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢63% (won 5% of 1258)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 44% of 173)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 58% of 137)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 91% of 415)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.