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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)13% (922–6151, n=7073)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL-$58$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #926PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus17% (4 of 23 open)no open consensus position57% (55 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=518——
Settled positions, side won13% of 3681 at avg 14¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢82% (won 3% of 3028)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 35% of 288)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 64% of 189)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 83% of 176)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187joseph00677RN1
Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6—No $137
Will Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
No $60—No $58