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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (922–6151, n=7073) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | -$58 | $5.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 14% (6 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 62% (121 of 196 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=518 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 13% of 3681 at avg 14¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 82% (won 3% of 3028) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 35% of 288) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 64% of 189) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 83% of 176) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | — | No $17K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | — | No $12K |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5 | — | — | Over $6.0K |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5 | — | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3 | — | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22 | — | — | No $1.3K |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | — | No $947 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $25 | — | — | Under $888 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $30 | — | — | Over $718 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $127 | — | — | Over $135 |
| Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $165 | — | — | Under $52 |
| Will Manta FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | — | No $42 |
| Lille OSC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $31 | — | — | Yes $7 |