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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)13% (922–6151, n=7073)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$58$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #926PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position14% (6 of 43 open)no open consensus position62% (121 of 194 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tennis −3 pts, n=518——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%13% of 3681 at avg 14¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%82% (won 3% of 3028)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%8% (won 35% of 288)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)5% (won 64% of 189)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 83% of 176)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187joseph00677RN1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $17K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1—No $12K
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5—Over $6.0K
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3—Yes $2.2K
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5—Yes $2.1K
Will Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22—No $1.3K
Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $6—No $947
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25—Under $888
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $30—Over $715
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $127—Over $135
Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $165—Under $52
Will Manta FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $8—No $42
Lille OSC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $31—Yes $7