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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700beachboy4BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)63% (1819–1085, n=2904)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$22K$5.8M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)87% (131 of 150 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +35 pts n=1394, ROI +36%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won98% of 1394 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 95% of 61)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 98% of 325)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 98% of 422)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 99% of 586)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.