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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375ferrariChampions2026beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (2699–2652, n=5351)35% (3649–6673, n=10322)no settled market48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$348K$3.0M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #252was PM monthly #621—PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (13 of 17 open)no open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=2340———
Settled positions, side won50% of 4600 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%——94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 13% of 528)——10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 38% of 1839)——22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 63% of 1605)——36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 83% of 628)——33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375ferrariChampions2026beachboy4RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3K—Over $1.5K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Ryan Nijboer $6—Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
—Philip Henning $22K—Philip Henning $8.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $4.3K—Nuno Borges $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Over $360