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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (2521–2496, n=5017) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $376K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #226 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 2651 at avg 51¢, ROI +36% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 50% of 147) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 84% of 1281) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 91% of 894) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 97% of 329) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $16K | — | Commanders $11K | — |