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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)42% (638–883, n=1521)45% (576–717, n=1293)41% (409–588, n=997)
Consensus PnL$12K$7.9M$170K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #218PM monthly #3PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus61% (44 of 72 open)88% (22 of 25 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=1156——
Settled positions, side won54% of 2348 at avg 55¢, ROI −2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 408 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 1% of 1016)10% (won 82% of 60)9% (won 92% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 44% of 52)35% (won 98% of 204)55% (won 99% of 226)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 71% of 69)35% (won 100% of 202)34% (won 100% of 138)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 99% of 1211)20% (won 100% of 116)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.