Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493beachboy4CORGIIndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (594–690, n=1284)67% (43–21, n=64)61% (398–250, n=648)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$17K$6.1M$216K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #218was PM monthly #24PM monthly #96PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus58% (15 of 26 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position77% (27 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=256NBA −6 pts, n=93—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won58% of 1789 at avg 58¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 2% of 706)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 49% of 43)30% (won 57% of 63)56% (won 99% of 224)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 72% of 54)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 134)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 99% of 986)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.