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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493beachboy4joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)35% (281–527, n=808)68% (43–20, n=63)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$16K$5.8M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #218was PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus56% (14 of 25 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=169NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won57% of 1432 at avg 57¢, ROI −1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 2% of 587)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 48% of 31)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 71% of 41)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 99% of 773)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.